Imminence of Implosion

By: Dr. G. Rauf Roashan

It is almost a decade that Afghans have waited for situations in their country to improve: security to be maintained, the war on terror fought and won by a coalition of international forces, the economy to improve, unemployment rates, now well over fifty percent, to be reduced, educational facilities to become fully functional, and health and medical services to develop and expand. They have waited and wished for a welfare government to become fully operative, justice to be maintained and democracy and equality to be promulgated. Now at the end of this long wait they see corruption blooming, security worse than ever, the war dragging on with indecisive results, health and education still in need of attention and democracy just a name.

Obviously many think of a solution to the worsening situations in Afghanistan and even more blame Karzai for failing drastically and for wasting precious time in mending not only a broken economy, but in providing a benign leadership. Many bring about accusations that he has sacrificed legitimate interests of people for keeping in power for which he has inadvertently colluded, under pressure, with elements inside and outside the country who in reality do not want a strong united Afghanistan. They say he has appeased and is appeasing known enemies of peace and unity in the country by befriending and supporting warlords and members of parties that had brought misery to the country to begin with. Others say he is weak, and he is afraid, not of the huge war that is being fought in his country, but of the self interested neighbors and self interested elements within, who seem to have vowed to play the cards of hatred based on ethnic, linguistic and religious interests of their groups and their foreign supporters. Yet others blame him of protecting criminals, money launderers, and influential militants. Current events in the country, in one way or another, tend to support some of these claims. There are also very few people who give him credit for the very few achievements he had scored in the beginning of his administration.

On the other hand, people have already started thinking of alternatives to his leadership. Some have even embarked on hypothetical theories of inviting a neutral international source to take over the administration of the country until such a time that a truly effective national government could be established. Some hastily suggest that the United States should replace Karzai with another leader and others just say Karzai should be fired. It would seem that all of these theories are based on lack of understanding of the reality on the ground. They forget that Karzai, whether they like it or not has been elected in what is, rightly or wrongly, considered democratic elections and presently he is the legal leader of the country. Perhaps they forget that in democracies you can impeach ranking government leaders if you have sufficient legal ground to do so through legal channels. They should therefore consult the constitution and constitutional lawyers and scholars to show them how they could impeach a sitting president.

It is also natural that if all the ways are closed as to correcting the situation by removing of the great stress on the Afghan nation imposed on it by a malfunctioning government, they would look at history and remember that there have been implosions that have come to the rescue of some nations under certain conditions. Implosion is different than a revolution. While revolutions are usually planned for by usually militant revolutionaries who do not hesitate to bring about violence and war, implosions are explosions from within that result from frustration of nations under extreme pressure of poverty and disease and other social ills. Worldwide examples of this could be seen in the toppling down of the Soviet Regime more than a decade ago and the removal of the Tunisian President, Zainul Abedin Ben Ali two weeks ago. Egyptian protests and grievances against many other governments in North Africa and the Middle East are other instances of implosions in the face of dictatorial regimes or those pseudo-democracies that have been monopolized for decades by regimes embarking even on oppressive tactics to remain in power.

Are there similar uprisings in the cards for Afghanistan or Pakistan or both is a serious question to be considered for the sake of stability in South Asia? It is a question that should be considered specifically by President Karzai and by all members of the coalition that are busy fighting the war on terror on Afghan soil?

Imminence therefore of implosion should alert all concerned to rectify the situations to the satisfaction of masses. And the masses in Afghanistan want true democracy, functioning governance, security, justice, and eradication of corruption in all its forms and at all the levels from the matrix of governance in Afghanistan. 1/28/2011